sábado, 7 de diciembre de 2024

W13@DET: Accept the stupidity

    The last straw, the loss to the Detroit Lions was the last utter disaster that was the tenure of HC Matt Eberflus, three straight divisional games lost because of "bad luck", well a cleansing was due and it happened with his firing, it was clear that this was needed, the locker room was lost as was the hopes of any playoff chances the Bears had this season and boy did they had them, three divisional games lost by a sum total of 7 points, a blocked FG, an OT loss and a saved time out that with better time management would have probably send them to another OT game, the bar was low on expectations for this team this season with a rookie QB, but it was turning for the worst, there is finally hope at the QB position and the leadership was doing everything possible to burn it to the ground once more. Luckily the decision came crystal clear, too many losses, to many drama, too many eyes from the outside criticizing the organization while screwing up in national television, the change had to be made and so it was, the Bears have the chance once more to stumble into a good situation by elevating new OC Thomas Brown to interim HC, he went from being the passing coordinator to be the top dog in 3 weeks, its the only way the Bears can turn things around, by pure luck and stupidity. 


   The offense once more was missing in the first half of the game, all three and outs the first four possessions, penalties and getting behind on the scoreboard forced them to abandon the run which made it to difficult for Caleb Williams to move the ball against a stout Lions defense that are too good against an offense that goes one dimensional. In the second half they started to play clean football and the run game started to work which opened the door for Williams to do his magic. The Bears once again where in position to at least tie the game, 1st ant 10 at DET 25 with 46 seconds and 2 time outs, a bad pass from Williams that would probably take them inside the 10 but was thrown behind DJ Moore, for some reason a time out had to be used after an incompletion, second down ended with a 12 yard gain negated by penalty, 2 and 20 ended in a sack with 36 seconds and running, the next play took 30 second to snap the ball because the time out left was never used, the game ended in an incompletion. Enough was enough, its everyone's fault but the responsibility goes to the head of the team, it was time for change.

Upside players: Caleb Williams keeps making big plays and keeping games close. Keenan Allen is keeping himself relevant in this offense.

Downside players: Still waiting for Cole Kmet to get more targets. DJ Moore might benefit by playing a bit less, he really looks to be hurt.


   The defense continued to do enough to have a chance to win, the game could have been over if it wasn't for the forced fumble by Tyrique Stevenson at the end of the second quarter when Jahmyr Gibbs took the ball inside the Bears 10 yard line, it probably would have ended in another TD for the Lions. Before that the Lions scored points the previous 4 drives, in the second half they scored in their next dive and then missed a FG, the Bears defense managed to stop them on two drives, one of them was a 3 and out. So yeah, they still did just enough, but just enough still is not enough.

Upside players: Kyler Gordon makes a big difference in this defense. Gervon Dexter sighting is always a good thing, making the pass rush relevant.

Downside players: When the pass rush is generated by the DTs and still there are no sacks generated, its a bad look for the EDGEs.


   Next up is a visit to the west coast against a familiar foe that are the 49ers who are struggling mightily to keep their players healthy, the defense might struggle because of this but the offense can still click even without Christian McCaffrey although he will be missed with good reasons. The Bears defense might be in its way to shift a bit in mentality with the coaching changes, the whole season they have been the bend but don't break unit that has kept games close for their offense to respond, but when they need the offense to shut the door they haven't been able to do it. Now with Erick Washington at the DC spot, I would like this defense to take more chances and execute the blitz packages more effective and often, its really frustrating to see blitzing LBs just get stuffed in the LOS and generate no pressure at all. Offensively is gong to be the main story and focus, will Thomas Brown be capable of transitioning from leading an offense to now lead a whole team and still keep the focus on elevating Caleb Williams game? This season is much over for this team, now is the time to focus on what works and who stays to get this team ready for next season, this organization still needs to get things done but at least there seems to be one thing that they finally FINALLY don't need to worry about and its the QB is set and ready to be build around him, DONT SCREW IT UP.

W14 picks

   Took a week of after one awful weekly prediction. What the hell Cowboys, you should be dead. I'm disappointed in the Bears, but real disappointments are the Falcons, Bengals and Jets. The NFC West would be the new NFC South if the NFC South would stop being the NFC South. Dolphins and Colts hanging to dear life. Texas are you OK? Can someone else beat the Chiefs for Pete's sake. On to next week.

Last week: 2-10 (16%)

Season overall: 37-125 (22%)


Browns (+7) @ Pittsburgh    (O43.5)

   Probably wrong going with the Browns but these two teams always seem to go to the wire when facing each other.


Jets @ Miami (-6)    (U44.5)

   The Dolphins are fighting for playoff hopes, the Jets are thinking offseason.


Falcons (+6) @ Minnesota    (U45.5)

   As bad as the Falcons have played, they are still a team with lots of talent that go toe to toe with every one, just cant get out of their own way.


Saints (-5) @ NY Giants    (O41)

   The Saints are still in the hunt while the Giants are experimenting with q QB carousel. 


Panthers (+13.5) @ Philadelphia     (O45)

   The Panthers have been playing better, still need to get more weapons. The Eagles are cruising to the post season thanks to Saquon Barkley.


Raiders @ Tampa Bay (-6.5)   (U46.5)

   The Raiders are still a good team with a big hole at QB, against a Bucks team that is getting their best player in Mike Evans back, there is no chance.


Jaguars (+3.5) @ Tennessee    (U40)

   Which coaching staff can keep their team fighting for nothing?


Seahawks @ Arizona (-2.5)    (O44.5)

   I don't know man, just toss the coin. The Seahawks are getting DK Metcalf back, but the Cardinals should still be the better team.


Bills (-3.5) @ LA Rams    (U49.5)

   Josh Allen is a man possessed, the Rams defensive front will have their hands full for this one.


Bears (+3) @ San Francisco    (O43.5)

   The Bears have new energy if the coaching change works for the better, the 49ers are still very banged up, the offense will have to make do to get the win.


Chargers (+4) @ Kansas City     (U43)

   The Chargers are a capable team, can they break the voodoo magic of the Chiefs, which is play a mistake free 4th quarter.


Bengals (-5.5) @ Dallas    (U49.5)

   The Cowboys cant continue winning like this can they?

domingo, 24 de noviembre de 2024

W12 picks

   Had my personal best las week, still the BS is too much for me. I just cant with the Bears. The Saints are an impressive team, not necessarily a good one. The Patriots have something going, just not this year. The Broncos on the other hand are building something right now. The Cowboys, Jets and Falcons are so disappointing. The 49ers and Bengals just cant find a way to climb out the ditch they got in. The Chargers are not chargering. Thank you Bills. On to next week.

Last week: 6-6 (50%)

Season overall: 35-115 (23%)


Chiefs (-11) @ Carolina    (U43)

   The Chiefs are going to win, but I can never feel sure that they will be able to cover. They should.


Vikings (-3.5) @ Chicago    (U39.5)

   The Bears cant stop shooting themselves in the ass. The Vikings are playing solid football.


Patriots (+7) @ Miami    (O46)

   The Patriots are a whole different team with Drake Maye at QB, still don't have enough dudes to be relevant.


Lions (-7.5) @ Indianapolis    (U50)

   The Colts put up a good fight against any team, but these are the Lions who are very healthy and motivated.


Titans @ Houston (-7.5)    (O40.5)

   The Texans have been struggling, this game could bring back their mojo. the Titans are just not good with their defense missing players with injury.


Cowboys @ Washington (-10.5)    (U45)

   The Cowboys are done without Dak Prescott. The Commanders just keep getting better.


Buccaneers (-6) @ NY Giants    (O40.5)

   The Giants have entered the rebuild, time to get stomped by Baker Mayfield and a healthier Bucs team.


Broncos (-5.5) @ Las Vegas    (U41)

   The Broncos with Bo Nix have shown to be a team on the rise, contrary to the Raiders.


Cardinals @ Seattle (PK)    (U47.5)

   Both teams go hot and cold, playing in Seattle is never easy.


49ers @ Green Bay (-5.5)    (U44.5)

   The Packers get to play a very banged up 49ers team, lucky them.


Eagles (-3) @ LA Rams    (U49)

   The Eagles found out how to play defense, bad news for everyone.


Ravens @ LA Chargers (+2.5)    (U51)

   The Ravens just don't know how to end games, contrary to the Chargers that are growing as a team.

W11vsPackers: There's just no way

    Gut-wrenching loss to the Packers on the last seconds of the game by a blocked filed goal, the Bears just find new ways to lose these close games, it just getting too frustrating as a fan to cheer for this team. It was a game that few believe the Bears had a shot of winning and did just enough good things on offense and defense to make it close, but both had mental mistakes and bad luck to give the Packers the shot they needed to win and just break every Bears fans heart in a new way.

   The offense clicked faster than I would expected, new offensive coordinator Thomas Brown made it possible to help Caleb Williams get rid of the ball faster and let him get more positive yards with his legs, this opened up the running game and opened the door for the possible upset. Still, its only one game and its still a wait and see if Brown can adjust and mix it up so that next opponents wont catch up on tendencies he might present. Getting Rome Odunze more involved like on this last game is key for the improvement of this offense. Getting Cole Kmet back in this offense has to happen, he cant go more games with 2 or less catches. Giving the rock more to Roschon Johnson can change the tempo of the offense. Getting the Oline back in shape and limit the time they have to block can be good news overall.

Upside players: Willimas could have been the hero of this game if not for the blocked FG, his last three throws were pro caliber. Odunze has to see more balls thrown his way, he has everything to be the WR1.

Downside players: D.J. Moore looks to be playing hurt and just doesn't look as explosive. Not throwing to Kmet is just bad football.


   The defense played good enough but just slipped at the worst times, they made Christian Watson´s stat line look dominant with 2 big plays where the secondary just had a meltdown. They didn't blitz enough to help pressure the QB and they struggled to stop the run at the start of the game ,but managed to improve in the second half. It was an up and down game for this unit that once more did just enough for the offense to have a chance to finish it. Still, Matt Eberflus approach looks to be relying on the defense by limiting the offense to make a mistake, this just doesn't look to be helping the offense improve and its not like this defense is playing lights out with a bunch of three and outs, it has been playing to stop the big chunks and limit them to field goals, that wont give the offense better field position even with big punts by Tory Taylor and with an offense playing scared that struggles to move the ball, it just makes the defense play more and will get tired, its not a good formula.

Upside players: Kyler Gordon is a very important part of this defense in the run game. 

Downside players: The pass rush is still not where one would like, not enough pressures are being generated from the edges.


   Next up is a visit by the Vikings who are arguably playing better ball than the Packers. They are as well coached as the Packers, but have more firepower on offense with their pair of pro caliber receivers, while the defense is well schemed and can put any QB in a bind. The Bears will need to play better than they did against the Packers, they were close and another step forward could be enough to come up with the win, but that depend more than just the offense playing better, all three units need to be better prepared and that is the whole coaching staff getting all their player ready to execute and fight until the last second on the clock.

domingo, 17 de noviembre de 2024

W11 picks

    Normally bad week, still hate the over/under. Flacons and Jets still shock me how they can lose so bad. Speaking of bad, the Bears, so tired of this BS. Speaking of BS, the Chiefs. On to next week. 


Last week: 3-9 (25%)

Season overall: 29-109 (22%)


Rams (-4.5) @ New England    (U43.5)

   Rams still good enough to beat a bad team.


Packers (-5.5) @ Chicago    (U47)

   I don't even think I could jinx this one.


Jaguars @ Detroit (-13.5)    (O47)

   No Trevor Lawrence, this could get really ugly for the Jaguars.


Browns (PK) @ New Orleans     (U44)

   Common Browns, don't go all Falcons on me, don't lose to the hospital.


Raiders (+7.5) @ Miami     (O43.5)

   I think its gonna be one of those weird Gardner Minshew games where he just go berserk.


Colts (+4) @ NY Jets     (O43.5)

   Would have loved seeing Joe Flacco vs Aaron Rodgers, so vintage. Still cant trust the Jets.


Ravens @ Pittsburgh (+3)    (U48.5)

   Good game, Ravens are to better team though. Still the Steelers have been playing better each game under Russell Wilson, might be to close of  a game so Ill go with the points.


Vikings (-6) @ Tennessee    (O39.5)

   The Titans are the AFC Bears.


Seahawks (+6.5) @ San Francisco     (U48)

   The 49ers are still banged up, its a chance the Seahawks should be able to take or at least be close to winning.


Chiefs (+2) @ Buffalo    (U46)

   First time this season the Chiefs are underdogs, maybe the only way they can cover a line.


Bengals @ LA Chargers (-1.5)    (O48)

   The Chargers are playing better, the Bengals are not bad but just fall short so many times.


Texans (-7) @ Dallas    (O41.5)

   The Texans should roll over the Dak-less Cowboys. And there's not gonna be any problems with the blinding sun.

W10vsPatriots: The joke that is the Chicago Bears

    A crushing loss to the lowly New England Patriots was a minor possibility, but the way they managed to perform even a worse offense than the previous games is just so gut wrenching, I was just grossed out watching Caleb Williams get obliterated, I didn't even watch the end of it, it was pure masochism. Shane Waldron´s head rolled after this, but Matt Eberflus is next in line or Ryan Poles can get added to it if he doesn't do something to not get thins team derailed more than it already is. Eberflus has managed to establish an good defense, proof that he is a good defensive coach, the problem is he is the HEAD COACH and his team is unbalanced way waaaaay off. Even if the offense starts clicking, Poles need to think really hard if the wins, if they start coming, cover up the mess Eberflus has done these last 2 years in hiring his coaching staff and game managing, because the roster looks fine (with more Oline help and some on the Dline) and that's more on Poles than Ebeflus, but at the end of the day its Poles job to make it all work.

   There was no offense, it failed to show up, it went even more downhill with Teven Jenkins getting injured, the only players surviving this season from the starting line from week 1 has been  Coleman Shelton, not ideal. There was no plan to mitigate the injured Oline, no quick passing game, no success with the screen play, abandoning the run too quickly in the game, just total disaster.

Upside players: Ryan Bates played OK, its the only positive thing I can take going forward from this game.

Downside players: Too many new faces on Oline made Williams have his worst game of his short professional career, Keenan Allen and D.J. Moore are not doing a good job as veterans and leaders. The offensive scheme is none existent because of execution's due to bad coaching.


The defense once more tried to keep it close but with no offense in this game, there was little to nothing they could do to even dream for a win. The Patriots are not a good team, the Bears just gave this one away so the Patriots didn't need to do anything spectacular on offense, just run the ball and go short on passing plays and it was enough to get the defense tired and seal the game.

Upside players: There isn't anyone that is outstanding but T.J. Edwards giving the Bears a takeaway interception to try and inject life to the defense was something.

Downside players: The front four did a good job overall but still need to show that they can generate more pressure more often.


   Next up is the game that can seal the Bears season, a loss to the Packers is the worst thing that can happen right now for this team, starting to lose divisional games just makes it a sure thing that there is no shot at the post season. The same can be said if the Bears end up winning this one, it would flip the script so drastically even if it shouldn't, but it will because its against the Packers, It would give so much life to the fans if they manage to make it, but I highly doubt they do, the team is resetting at offense and at this point of the season it could be too late with the next 3 games going against all the NFC North rivals back to back to back, I just don't see a quick enough learning curve to deal with these teams, its now or never to get it started on the win column or Ill be on tankathon real soon.

domingo, 10 de noviembre de 2024

W10 picks

    I fell really good about last week's predictions and it ended up being one of my worst weeks, life. Texans really miss Nico Collins. Saints still too injured but could go up with Carr returning, Cowboys more banged up and probably will go deeper down with Prescott injured. Bengals getting better, too late? Bears and Seahawks losing steam. Eagles looking to take flight again. On to next week.

Last week: 2-11 (15%)

Season overall: 26-100 (20%)


Patriots (+6) @ Chicago    (U38.5)

   The Bears have played well against bad competition which this is, but can trust the defense to stop the run and the offense to put enough point.


Vikings (-7) @ Jacksonville     (U43)

   With Trevor Lawrence nursing an injured shoulder, cant trust the Jaguars to slow down the Vikings.


Steelers @ Washington (-2)    (O45)

   Looks like Jayden Daniels is healthy enough to not be on the injury report, that will be a problem for the Steelers.


Falcons (-3.5) @ New Orleans    (U46.5)

   The Saints are just too banged up even with Carr back, the Falcons should pounce on them,


Broncos @ Kansas City (-7.5)    (U42)

   The Chiefs almost enver cover, but its at home against the Broncos, just get it done.


49ers @ Tampa Bay (+6.5)    (O50.5)

   Baker Mayfield is playing and that is enough for me to believe its going to be a shootout.


Bills (-4) @ Indianapolis    (U46.5)

   the Colts are not getting any better at offense with Michael Pittman out. The Bills have their own WR problems but can get this win on the ground.


Titans @ LA Chargers (-8)    (U39)

   The Titans playing Will Levis again is a choice.


Eagles (-7) @ Dallas     (O43.5)

   The Cowboys without Dak is enough for me to know they are done.


Jets @ Arizona (+1.5)    (U46)

   Still can't trust the Jets, the Cardinals are playing better.


Lions @ Houston (+3.5)   (O49.5)

   The Lions are pretty banged up and if the Texans get Collins back its going to probably boost their offense quite a bit. I  may be expecting too much of the Texans run game.


Dolphins (+1.5) @ LA Rams    (U49)

   the Dolphins are a more explosive team than the Rams right now.