domingo, 28 de noviembre de 2021

Useless predictions: 2021 Week 12 picks

   Took a week off, don't remember anything, lets get this back on track.


W10 Record: 4-8

Overall: 34-107 (24%)


Tennessee (+7) at New England     U43

   The Titans are coming in down their two top receivers and running back, the Patriots are in a streak, only shot the Titans have is playing good defense against Mac Jones and keeping the score close, I am trusting Mike Vrable.


NY Jets at Houston (-3)    O44.5

   What a coin toss of a game, who is worst, will it we a shootout or an offensive struggle, anyone's guess is as good as mine.


Carolina (-1) at Miami    U41

   Cam has better control of this team that what Darnold gave as the QB, this will be a defensive performance but McCaffrey ant the Panthers will get it done.


Atlanta (-1.5) at Jacksonville    U46

   The Jaguars are down their starting corners so I will go with Matt Ryan and Kyle Pitts to make it happen.


Tampa Bay (-3) at Indianapolis    U53

   Should be a good game but I don't believe the Colts defense will be enough to take on Brady.


Philadelphia (-3.5) at NY Giants    O45.5

   The Giants are without their top receivers, the Eagles should benefit from this.


LA Chargers (-3) at Denver    O47

   I like the Chargers more than the Broncos but this could go either way depending on what mood the Broncos are this time of year.


LA Rams (-2) at Green Bay    O47

   Go Rams.


Minnesota at San Francisco (-3.5)    U49

   The Vikings are down some key DL guys so the niners should take advantage and run this team down.


Cleveland at Baltimore (-3)    O47

   So many injuries, questions and vibes, I really cant say who is in better shape.


Seattle (-1) at Washington    U46.5

   The Seahawks gotta win eventually right?

miércoles, 24 de noviembre de 2021

W11vsBAL: Never ending story

    The Bears losing streak continues and has reached five now, the team now stands at a 3-7 record giving fans another disappointing season in the making. They gave this game away, they had a legit chance of beating a Lamar Jackson-less Baltimore team but the story keeps ending the same way over and over again, too little points to back up a defense that keeps them in the hunt but cant do it for a whole game which is expected, this team entered this season with more questions than answers at defense and promise at offense that would struggle with a weak OL. The OL got help and the rookie QB has taken steps forward but everything else just hasn't gotten better, one could argue it has gotten worse be it by injuries, planning and/or coaching. The changes have come too slow and too little as has been the help from new players on the team aside from a few like rookie Larry Borom saving the right side of Justin Fields and expectations are that Teven Jenkins can do the same, still there are WRs and CBs that could be tested right now to see what the team has in store for next season, but the waiting continues.


   The offense this year has been a different type of frustrating, its a bit less disappointing and lot more heartbreaking, they manage to move the ball more than on previous seasons creating more scoring opportunities but they keep finding ways to to miss on them and not even getting FGs out of them, how do you manage to be better and still be a team that cant score? One way to see it is that the improvement overall has been so small that even that quantity is enough to perceive a difference on this teams performances, which in result is so sad to know how bad your team has been and still is. Against Baltimore the Bears on their first series got to FG range but were frozen in place because David Montgomery continues to refuse to stretch running plays outside, instead he continues to slide inside trying to split the defense like hes Moses or Mike Alstott, Montgomery is strong but come on! bounce it outside once in a while, so in comes Cairo Santos who decides to create his own streak by missing the FG and increasing his number to two, hope he isn't trying to break the record. Next visit to Ravens territory, they decided to leave the effective running attack aside and instead have Jason Peters wiff a block that gets Fields sacked and striped for a loss fumble. for the second half Fields gets injured and in comes Andy Dalton who did a great job AS A BACKUP, he should not I REPEAT! SHOULD NOT be replacing Fields if not because of injury. Dalton scored two TDs, one was because Darnell Mooney put the defense on skates on a bubble screen and the other was a HE SHOULD BE THERE toss to Marquise Goodwin on a zero blitz, he was not accurate enough and made Darnell Mooney look bad, my point being that he is not better than Fields but I am glad to have him as the Bears Backup, he is mobile and is QB smart enough to go in and give the team a winning chance, but he should not be considered the starting Bears QB ever again, do not give me this Chase Daniels, Brian Hoyer, Matt Barkley, Josh McCown, Caleb Haine BS again, Dalton is a reliable backup and nothing more. I was disappointed to see Khalil Herbert limited in this game, I demand to see a more balance load between him and Montgomery, they do not play the same but are equally tough and can disrupt a defenses playing scheme, for some reason the coaches forgot how to take advantage of Fields and lessened the PA and screen plays until Dalton hit the field for some reason. Getting the thanksgiving spirit early, I would like to thank Matt Nagy for showing me what a HC should not necessarily be and what really should be, which is someone that has his team and coaching staff ready for any moment that should happen in the game. Nagy is not a good HC, he might be a good play designer and leader of men but hasn't shown he can call plays which is not a necessary responsibility for the HC, what is necessary however is managing situational football, properly managing the clock and the timeouts, communicating with anticipation what to do if a first down is made or not made after a 3rd down attempt or if going for one or two points when scoring, these were misses this past weekend. So again, Matt Nagy has shown he is not a good HC and has shown little knowledge of evolving a football team.

Upside players at mid season: Justin Fields, Larry Borom, Khalil Herbert, Cole Kmet, James Daniels.

Downside players at mid season: Allen Robinson, Jimmy Graham, Cody Whitehair, Sam Mustipher.


   The defense is still being asked to win games and this group is not solid enough to do it like in other past seasons, it has a massive weak link in Kindle Vildor as their CB2 who is just getting man handled by big receivers and burned by speedy ones, he was talked to being a potentially good NB and for some reason was the best option to plug at CB when Kyle Fuller was let go, the coaches are still waiting for him to click but I believe it has reached a point where it has to be called a failed project, be it because of lack of physical attributes or bad coaching, maybe both. Vildor cost the defense a much needed stop to win the game due to the continued lack of points on offense, for this reason I don't blame Sean Desai for these loses who is pushing his players to continue fighting and keep games close, his inexperience has taken a toll against good teams that have talented players and/or are better coached resulting in allowed 4th quarter comebacks by the opponent. This group needs the offense to respond and it hasn't done its part leaving the defense constantly against the wall. The loss of key players is just insult to injury but it gives young guys like Khyiris Tonga and Trevis Gipson chances to show their skills and grow. How I see it, the defense is what it is and probably wont get much better even if they sit Vildor for someone else, but they really should start trying it out immediately.

Upside players at mid season: Robert Quinn, Jaylon Johnson, Roquan Smith, Alec Ogletree.

Downside players at mid season: Kindle Vildor, Mario Edwards Jr., Danny Trevethan, Bilal Nichols.


   With the rumors going around about Nagy getting fired after concluding the Detroit game, there are some that say its stupid to tell him beforehand he is no longer going to be employed, for me the problem is not the way it is supposedly handled by setting things straight instead of coming in bluntly, but the decision coming at a very bad moment for the team being on a short week, on this I agree. What I would presume happened was something in the lines of the team talked to Nagy and put the options on the table to finish preparing for the upcoming game and establish a transfer of power or for him to leave immediately, which the professional thing to do is to do your job and support your colleagues. For me, the most important thing to establish would be that even if the Bears won against the Lions, the result would have not mattered in the decision to let Nagy go making it clear that his performance in that game wouldn't impact in the decision and its about the evaluation of everything before this. If Nagy loses this game because he was more focused on his future dismissal than winning the game, that tells me more about Nagy's character more than the decision made by the team and if the Bears lose because of it so what? It would put an end to a disappointing season and himself so the team can move forward and evaluate the present state for next season. Now Nagy has been interviewed and has negated these rumors, after this it was said that he met with ownership and then proceeded to basically ignored everyone. This tells me that the rumor spread before Nagy could be told about the ownerships plans, that there was no intention of firing him prior to the end of the season or he was lying of not knowing anything. Either way this has gone from an organizational decision to a dramatic mess because rumors could not be controlled inside the organization, them being true or not does not matter, the damage is done and now the Bears are mixed in an internal scandal which doesn't make them look good.

   The Bears have one lost game more than I expected which was the stolen game against the Steelers, so by my calculations they aren't going to reach the playoffs. Statistically they can still make it even if they still lose two more games not being the Vikings and this next one against the Lions but a lot would need to go their way and winning against the Vikings is not a given. If they manage to win the Vikings series, tomorrows Lions game, against the Giants and one of the Cardinals, Seahawks and Packers games, then there is a very slim chance that the Bears could give fans some ugly and stressful postseason hopes but first, and I cant believe I'm saying this, we need to wait the outcome of tomorrows thanksgiving game against the winless Lions and see if the Bears are capable of beating them with Dalton at the reigns, so hard to be thankful for football right now.

domingo, 14 de noviembre de 2021

Useless predictions: 2021 Week 10 picks

   Almost a perfect week but I had to get one right, better unlucky next time. It was a backwards week this past one with big upsets, I personally was really upset. I just going to get to it. On to next week.

W7 Record: 1-12

Overall: 30-98 (23%)


Tampa Bay (-10) at Washington    O50.5

   The Football Team might get better protection for his QB, they might cover but they haven't played like the competitive team they showed at the beginning of the season and against the Bucs it might be too much to get back on track.


Detroit (+6) at Pittsburgh     U40.5

   The Steelers will go without Ben and Claypool, this gives a chance for the Lions to cover this game but isn't a sure thing and the Steelers might be better without their Ben just managing the game and maybe be more aggressive with whoever plays QB, this might turn in to a turnover fest and the running game will determine the game.


Buffalo (-13) at NY Jets    O48

   The Bills will have a taste of MVP candidate Mike White, they already choked against the Jags so what will keep them from not blowing another winnable game? Im starting to believe my own words, this cant happen again can it?


Jacksonville at Indianapolis (-10)    U47.5

   The Jags managed to get the upset probably of the year, the Colts will have their guard up and probably end up crush them in the process.


Cleveland (+2.5) at New England    U45

   Are the Patriots considered a good team now? I mean they have played solid recently but its not like they have won against a good team other than the Chargers, well here is another test for them lets see how they go against a banged up Browns team.


Atlanta (+8) at Dallas     O55

   The Falcons aren't a bad roster, they are just a bad team that show how good they can be when they get out of their own way, the point might just be to many and I believe they can cover.


Minnesota (+3) at LA Chargers     O53.5

   This has the look of a dramatic game ending in heartbreak and who else better to be the heartbreaker than the Vikings in field goal range.


Carolina (+7.5) at Arizona     O41.5

   The Panthers have their star RB back ad have benched turnover cancer Darnold, this might bring new life or just confuse the injured riddled Cardinals enough to cover.


Seattle (+3) at Green Bay     O49

   FU Aaron Rodgers, I'm glad you stubbed your toe.


Philadelphia (+1) at Denver     U44.5

   I don't know where Denver got their mojo back from but I believe it was a one day dose, the Eagles defense will get it done today.


Kansas City  at Las Vegas (+2.5)   U52.5

   Will the real Chiefs ever appear? The impostors will go down against a streaky Raiders team purified by the leadership of Derek Carr.


LA Rams (-3.5) at San Francisco    U50

   The 49ers are getting worse by the day while the Rams went thrift shopping once more getting OBJ and as quick enough they lost Woods for the year which is not ideal, still they have offensive weapons galore and should be enough to win, Stafford just has to overcome his PTSD and remember he isn't with the Lions anymore.


jueves, 11 de noviembre de 2021

W9@PIT: The away game against the stripes

    I never was interested in knowing the name of an NFL ref before, I can react to names I have listened before like Ed Hochuli for example not being sure how his name is properly written because I am not interested in having that knowledge, now I may never forget a name and it will be linked to a feeling of anger for some time, I am pretty sure it will pass but not the name, the name I believe will stick until he ceases to exist in the league, maybe longer but I hope not, it would only bring me unhappiness which I don't need. Anthony Joseph Corrente along with his crew ruined a Monday night football game with multiple questionable and incorrect calls followed by some questionable and incorrect non-calls, the vast majority of these calls and non-calls where against the Bears and that obviously PISSED ME OFF, it destroyed what should have been a very dramatic 4th quarter and very possibly a comeback win for the Bears to a very stained and ugly game. To make matters worse the NFL committee was content with this referee and his crews job, so NOTHING WORNG HERE MOVE ALONG. This is a really bad joke, its like going against the employee that spat in your food in front of you then comes the manager to say nothings wrong, here is your food and you will like it because you have nowhere else to eat but here. I hope Tony Corrente loses his car keys daily, eats stale cereal and runs out of hot water for the whole winter. Same goes to Matt Nagy for defending him and the taunting rule instead of his guys. The rule is broken, I dreaded the day it would do something like this, tip the balance of a close game, it was like I imagined it times ten because it happened to the Bears, why is it 15 yards? Why is it equal to a personal foul? Its equal to someone trying to HURT SOMEONE, is it a penalty for hurting the others feelings? I'm all for it when it gets players or personnel kicked out of the game for repeated violations for acting like a spoiled child, even once could be enough if the rule is solid and understood, but come on! don't tarnish the game with "I FELT IT WAS", its stupid even if it goes someone's way its just not right, get them out of the game and continue playing football. They played Cassius Marsh wrong, the penalty never looked like it was for what it is said it was for, Marsh never should have stayed in the field as much as he did but other than that HE DID ZERO, NOTHING to offend anyone, Corrente's hip check on the other hand is way out of line, that was obviously intentional and it wouldn't surprise me that he threw the flag with the intent of penalizing Marsh for that hit but got caught on camera and changed the narrative. Hearing Justin Fields talking in game to the officials asking them to call it equally for both teams after getting a late hit early in the 3rd quarter wouldn't surprise me if this was the trigger Corrente needed to start this whole mess, it might even get worse and Fields just placed a target on the Bears for the refs, the same organization that got rid of the pass interference challenge in one year because of their big ego.


   Anyway, the offense couldn't get it together in the first half, it took them until mid 2nd quarter to start moving the ball successfully and once they did manage to get past mid field they just couldn't get out of their own way failing to get some needed points on the board, the real success started on the second half  when they started with possession at their own 7 yard line and rumbled all the way to the 1 yardof the Steelers, then the ref ball started, getting penalized 15 yards for an illegal block that clearly wasn't there, then some major hits to Fields that weren't enough to get called stopped the Bears at a 4th and goal at the 4 yard line, now its Nagy's time to shine not helping himself not get fired, down by 11 on a big drive he decided to go for a chip FG destroying every ounce of momentum the drive created, what happened with more TDs less FGs "BE YOU" Matt Nagy? Sending in Cairo Santos for a 65 yard FG to end the game, really? THROW THE BALL, this man is so done. Fields looked very good in this game, almost topping 300 yards through the air and some extra with his feet, he truly excels when PA is called and when he scrambles to make time but most importantly he also shows that when there is a pocket he can hurt defenses even more. He has still things to get better at in terms of quicker and better decision making and not giving up searching for receivers when scrambling out of the pocket but shows that he is capable of doing it all and his accuracy is legit, I think I watched the whole game not being nervous that one of his passes was dangerous, on the contrary he made a pair of tight window passes that were jaw dropping even when under duress and made them in the 4th quarter down in the scoreboard, if given more time at the end or even with one time out in the bag he could have gotten the Bears the win, what he has shown is what the Bears have been missing for a century (sorry Cutler, you were close), still early to say but on this game he showed its a very likely possibility.

Upside players: Fields obviously. Great to have David Montgomery back, even if the run game had to be limited because of the score, he looked 100% and didn't look he is missing a beat. Cole Kmet appeared often in this game and is growing as the double threat we would like him to be. Larry Borom didn't have a perfect game but controlled T.J. Watt's pass rush very well al night and that was no easy task. Sam Mustipher wasn't great but he made plays for once, he wins a chance to prove it for one more game, still prefer to see what James Daniels can do at C but there is still time.

Downside players: Honestly there wasn't someone that was an obviously choice but I still expect more from Cody Whitehair.


   The defense was missing key players from the start without Khalil Mack, Eddie Jackson and Alec Ogletree then Akiem Hicks fell to injury at the last half. Sean Desai and the remaining players fought hard but came up short, the holes left by these injured players could be hidden well enough, the lack of pass rush exposed the weak secondary enough for Ben Roethlisberger to find the creases using the short and quick passing game like the field manager he has become with age. Also the defense got outmuscled often by the Steelers rookies Najee Harris and Pat Freiermuth, on the other hand the same could be said of rookie C Kendrick Green who was tortured regularly by Eddie Goldman which helped stop the run and even rookie LT Dan Moore Jr. had some growing pains against Robert Quinn. Sacks were made but the Steelers game plan made it that there were not many chances to get to the QB, still there where times that the front seven just didn't get enough pressure in key situations, the return of some or all of the injured players might turn things around.

Upside players: Goldman had a fieldtrip against the rookie limiting Harris runs for short gains. Angelo Blackmon and Khyiris Tonga helped to limit the Steelers running game as well.

Downside players: Danny Trevathan isn't the same guy anymore and this year might possibly be his last at least as a starter. Kindle Vildor and Deandre Houston-Carson had bad performances getting man handled and giving to many big plays.


   The post season might be out of reach for the Bears at this mid season-ish point, with a 3-6 record the most probable way to revive their playoff hopes is by winning every game against their division rivals, beating the Giants and at least one of the rest between the Ravens, Cardinals and Seahawks. Its a tough task and the only thing that would keep this tiny flame alive is Fields continuous progression, anything is posible with a good QB, when the ref don't get in the way.

sábado, 6 de noviembre de 2021

Useless predictions: 2021 Week 9 picks

   Horrible week, I will just leave it at that. Oh I'm sorry! I thought Flacco was playing and not future hall of famer Mike friggin White, the Bengals converted to their old ways like instant coffee. I'm starting to think the Chargers are not all that good more than the Patriots are not all that bad. The same could be said about the Football team, where is that elite front seven I was promised? How did the Saint win against Tampa? HOW? And how are the Chiefs THIS BAD? On to next week.

W7 Record: 2-12

Overall: 29-86 (25%)


Atlanta at New Orleans (-6)    O41.5

   The Saints are inflated in confidence after beating the NFL champs, I still don't know how they did it, it wasn't because of Jameis Winston and will not matter that he will be not playing this game instead it will be Trevor Siemian who is even less trustful than Winston but not by much, luckily this week is against the Falcons who come from a game they totally Falconed and will continue to climb the draft ladder this week.


Buffalo (-14.5) at Jacksonville    O48.5

   Its doable, the Jaguars are a struggling team even when they are fully healthy, the Bills on the other side are banged up at OL, putting pressure on Josh Allen is the Jags only hope, cant trust they will.


New England (-3.5) at Carolina    O41.5

   The Patriots are finding the end zone more frequently these past weeks, the Panthers are the opposite, they could have McCaffrey back for this one, even if its limited he is the heart and soul of this offense and could be a wild card for this game, I will wait this game out to really believe he can turn this team around.


Minnesota (6) at Baltimore     U50.5

   The Vikings are a hard team to read, they can go toe to toe with anyone, even the basement teams, I believe they will stick enough with the Ravens to cover.


Cleveland at Cincinnati (2.5)    O47.5

   The Browns are getting healthier but I will go with the down but not beaten Bengals to rebound from their disastrous game against superstar Mike White.


Denver at Dallas (-10)    U49

   Dak looks to be back and its enough for me to believe he will lea the Cowboys to ultimate victory.


Houston (+5.5) at Miami     U46.5

   Tyrod Taylor is back and will lead the Texans out of football hell and lead them to purgatory once more.


Las Vegas (-3) at NY Giants    U46.5

   Will the Raider get distracted by their resent news about Ruggs and Arnette or will David Carr show they the way to beat the lowly Giants? 


LA Chargers (-1.5) at Philadelphia    O49.5

   This game will show us what the Chargers are really made of facing of an Eagles team that I'm not sure they know how they win when they do.


Arizona at San Francisco (-3)    U45

   Kyler Murray's status is what would turn this whole game around, looks like he will be limited with an ankle injury, Murray not running is just not good.


Green Bay at Kansas City (-7.5)    O48

   I hate the Chiefs for giving me hope of a victory against an Rodgerless Packers team. 


Tennessee at LA Rams (-7.5)    U52.5

   The king is dead, long live the king.


Chicago (+6.5) at Pittsburgh     U39

   So the Bears just cant get the job done, this game is one more shot of getting a win before things get really ugly. I cant say I'm hopeful about it.

jueves, 4 de noviembre de 2021

W8vsSF: Clicking

   Once the game was over I remembered I had the Bears probably losing to the 49ers mostly because of experience, it ended up being somewhat true but not as I expected. The Bears had their chance to win this one and arguably they should have, they couldn't maintain the lead surprisingly because the defense just got outperformed, outcoached and just plain shot themselves in the foot.

   The offense pretty much controlled the game eating a lot of clock and moving the ball with good enough rhythm, not efficient but effective, they just didn't got it done in the scoring department enough to overcome the lack of defense. Justin Fields had a good game, showed he can be a QB and a weapon, the Bears called vastly more PA that benefited Fields to make plays, he is still missing the long passes but he might be getting there in terms of confidence, there wasn't much need to go long although its something I am waiting/wanting for him to exploit against defenses, take some more risks, ill be patient though just because games like this give me hope that Fields is constantly progressing and shows how poised and dangerous he can be with the ball when given time and even when the play breaks down also showed he can make something out of nothing. Khalil Herbert and the OL had a very good first half but struggled in the second, the 49ers just found a way to take the run game out of the Bears plans, although this is not ideal, it showed Fields could still make plays in spite of it. 

Upside players: Larry Borom wasted no time to show he is legit, plugged in at RT in front of Nick Bosa  who is not your average Joe pass rusher and didn't lose a beat, excited to see the day him and Teven Jenkins play on opposite edges, just imagining them both being hits and anchoring the OL for years to come protecting Fields would be so awesome. Fields did his part and more on this game, arrow still pointing up making it extremely easy to have patience with his growth.

Downside players: James Daniels had a rough game against Arik Armstead who is no easy task for anyone, it wasn't a complete disaster but he did struggle, got to get better against the good ones. Still waiting for the Bears to reshuffle the interior so they can bench Sam Mustipher.


   Normally 22 points would have been enough for the Bears to win against a banged up team with an above average QB, not this time. The Bears defense were on bend but don't break mode for 3 qrts of the game ultimately braking once they entered the 4th allowing two 49ers TDs to seal the game. Sean Desai got outcoached and probably missed having Eddie Jackson patrolling the outfield, the defense couldn't make the 49ers punt once and got torched on some plays that maintained the 49ers alive the whole game. It is very strange to see them get beat by the run game when having their front 7 almost completely healthy except for Khalil Mack, some mismatches on pass plays and the lack or no pass rush at all just killed any shot they had of stopping them from getting points. 

Upside players: Alec Ogletee played with good effort and its something you would like to see in all of the players on the field. Akiem Hicks is an example for anyone that wants to play at the DL, plays hard and never quits.

Downside players: The defense as a unit crumbled without their center fielder and prime pass rusher, Desai just didn't look to have an answer for his players to fill the void Jackson and Mack left, creating no pressure and not finding a way to stop the quick passing game.


  This game is an opportunity for Desai to learn and get better and an eye opener for the offense to realice that they have ways to go to be considered a good offense, compared to last year they have progressed but it would be comparing them to mediocrity, less three and outs and consistence in moving the ball passed mid field are things that should be a standard by a good offense, they need to get with the times and focus on how to get Fields in better positions to help his offense score more points. The Bears lost their chance to be on top of the division when they lost to Green Bay, now they lost their chance to better their chances to be in the post season by losing to the 49ers, if they lose at Pittsburgh on Monday they cut their chances to even get the last wild card spot to barely none, either way they shouldn't lose their focus even if the regime that is now in control of the team shouldn't be considered for many, if not any, to return next season unless the unexpected happens and even then the results should be evaluated meticulously, but who am I kidding right? By deciding or failing to get any trade value for the veterans on the team before the trade deadline and not stocking for a rebuild for 2022, Ryan Pace and the rest are set to squeeze every drop of energy and fight this team has and see where it can get them to. Now there is nothing more to do but watch this season unfold with what they have. As like last week, the Bears have a shot to beat the Steelers low powered offense, talent isn't the problem with Chase Claypool, Diontae Johnson and Najee Harris having enough playmaking ability to make anyone pay, it seems the problem relies on the OL and the aging Ben Roethlisberger, the Bears need to get pressure to stop this offense. The Steelers defense in the other hand is not too shabby with T.J. Watt and the front seven terrorizing QBs, the Bears OL will have a challenge in their hands to give Fields enough time. Looking at it closely this could end up being the 49ers game all over again, can the Bears and their coaching staff be ready this time around?