W12 picks

   Had my personal best las week, still the BS is too much for me. I just cant with the Bears. The Saints are an impressive team, not necessarily a good one. The Patriots have something going, just not this year. The Broncos on the other hand are building something right now. The Cowboys, Jets and Falcons are so disappointing. The 49ers and Bengals just cant find a way to climb out the ditch they got in. The Chargers are not chargering. Thank you Bills. On to next week.

Last week: 6-6 (50%)

Season overall: 35-115 (23%)

Chiefs (-11) @ Carolina    (U43)

   The Chiefs are going to win, but I can never feel sure that they will be able to cover. They should.

Vikings (-3.5) @ Chicago    (U39.5)

   The Bears cant stop shooting themselves in the ass. The Vikings are playing solid football.

Patriots (+7) @ Miami    (O46)

   The Patriots are a whole different team with Drake Maye at QB, still don't have enough dudes to be relevant.

Lions (-7.5) @ Indianapolis    (U50)

   The Colts put up a good fight against any team, but these are the Lions who are very healthy and motivated.

Titans @ Houston (-7.5)    (O40.5)

   The Texans have been struggling, this game could bring back their mojo. the Titans are just not good with their defense missing players with injury.

Cowboys @ Washington (-10.5)    (U45)

   The Cowboys are done without Dak Prescott. The Commanders just keep getting better.

Buccaneers (-6) @ NY Giants    (O40.5)

   The Giants have entered the rebuild, time to get stomped by Baker Mayfield and a healthier Bucs team.

Broncos (-5.5) @ Las Vegas    (U41)

   The Broncos with Bo Nix have shown to be a team on the rise, contrary to the Raiders.

Cardinals @ Seattle (PK)    (U47.5)

   Both teams go hot and cold, playing in Seattle is never easy.

49ers @ Green Bay (-5.5)    (U44.5)

   The Packers get to play a very banged up 49ers team, lucky them.

Eagles (-3) @ LA Rams    (U49)

   The Eagles found out how to play defense, bad news for everyone.

Ravens @ LA Chargers (+2.5)    (U51)

   The Ravens just don't know how to end games, contrary to the Chargers that are growing as a team.

W11vsPackers: There's just no way

    Gut-wrenching loss to the Packers on the last seconds of the game by a blocked filed goal, the Bears just find new ways to lose these close games, it just getting too frustrating as a fan to cheer for this team. It was a game that few believe the Bears had a shot of winning and did just enough good things on offense and defense to make it close, but both had mental mistakes and bad luck to give the Packers the shot they needed to win and just break every Bears fans heart in a new way.

   The offense clicked faster than I would expected, new offensive coordinator Thomas Brown made it possible to help Caleb Williams get rid of the ball faster and let him get more positive yards with his legs, this opened up the running game and opened the door for the possible upset. Still, its only one game and its still a wait and see if Brown can adjust and mix it up so that next opponents wont catch up on tendencies he might present. Getting Rome Odunze more involved like on this last game is key for the improvement of this offense. Getting Cole Kmet back in this offense has to happen, he cant go more games with 2 or less catches. Giving the rock more to Roschon Johnson can change the tempo of the offense. Getting the Oline back in shape and limit the time they have to block can be good news overall.

Upside players: Willimas could have been the hero of this game if not for the blocked FG, his last three throws were pro caliber. Odunze has to see more balls thrown his way, he has everything to be the WR1.

Downside players: D.J. Moore looks to be playing hurt and just doesn't look as explosive. Not throwing to Kmet is just bad football.

   The defense played good enough but just slipped at the worst times, they made Christian Watson´s stat line look dominant with 2 big plays where the secondary just had a meltdown. They didn't blitz enough to help pressure the QB and they struggled to stop the run at the start of the game ,but managed to improve in the second half. It was an up and down game for this unit that once more did just enough for the offense to have a chance to finish it. Still, Matt Eberflus approach looks to be relying on the defense by limiting the offense to make a mistake, this just doesn't look to be helping the offense improve and its not like this defense is playing lights out with a bunch of three and outs, it has been playing to stop the big chunks and limit them to field goals, that wont give the offense better field position even with big punts by Tory Taylor and with an offense playing scared that struggles to move the ball, it just makes the defense play more and will get tired, its not a good formula.

Upside players: Kyler Gordon is a very important part of this defense in the run game. 

Downside players: The pass rush is still not where one would like, not enough pressures are being generated from the edges.

   Next up is a visit by the Vikings who are arguably playing better ball than the Packers. They are as well coached as the Packers, but have more firepower on offense with their pair of pro caliber receivers, while the defense is well schemed and can put any QB in a bind. The Bears will need to play better than they did against the Packers, they were close and another step forward could be enough to come up with the win, but that depend more than just the offense playing better, all three units need to be better prepared and that is the whole coaching staff getting all their player ready to execute and fight until the last second on the clock.

W11 picks

    Normally bad week, still hate the over/under. Flacons and Jets still shock me how they can lose so bad. Speaking of bad, the Bears, so tired of this BS. Speaking of BS, the Chiefs. On to next week. 

Last week: 3-9 (25%)

Season overall: 29-109 (22%)

Rams (-4.5) @ New England    (U43.5)

   Rams still good enough to beat a bad team.

Packers (-5.5) @ Chicago    (U47)

   I don't even think I could jinx this one.

Jaguars @ Detroit (-13.5)    (O47)

   No Trevor Lawrence, this could get really ugly for the Jaguars.

Browns (PK) @ New Orleans     (U44)

   Common Browns, don't go all Falcons on me, don't lose to the hospital.

Raiders (+7.5) @ Miami     (O43.5)

   I think its gonna be one of those weird Gardner Minshew games where he just go berserk.

Colts (+4) @ NY Jets     (O43.5)

   Would have loved seeing Joe Flacco vs Aaron Rodgers, so vintage. Still cant trust the Jets.

Ravens @ Pittsburgh (+3)    (U48.5)

   Good game, Ravens are to better team though. Still the Steelers have been playing better each game under Russell Wilson, might be to close of  a game so Ill go with the points.

Vikings (-6) @ Tennessee    (O39.5)

   The Titans are the AFC Bears.

Seahawks (+6.5) @ San Francisco     (U48)

   The 49ers are still banged up, its a chance the Seahawks should be able to take or at least be close to winning.

Chiefs (+2) @ Buffalo    (U46)

   First time this season the Chiefs are underdogs, maybe the only way they can cover a line.

Bengals @ LA Chargers (-1.5)    (O48)

   The Chargers are playing better, the Bengals are not bad but just fall short so many times.

Texans (-7) @ Dallas    (O41.5)

   The Texans should roll over the Dak-less Cowboys. And there's not gonna be any problems with the blinding sun.

W10vsPatriots: The joke that is the Chicago Bears

    A crushing loss to the lowly New England Patriots was a minor possibility, but the way they managed to perform even a worse offense than the previous games is just so gut wrenching, I was just grossed out watching Caleb Williams get obliterated, I didn't even watch the end of it, it was pure masochism. Shane Waldron´s head rolled after this, but Matt Eberflus is next in line or Ryan Poles can get added to it if he doesn't do something to not get thins team derailed more than it already is. Eberflus has managed to establish an good defense, proof that he is a good defensive coach, the problem is he is the HEAD COACH and his team is unbalanced way waaaaay off. Even if the offense starts clicking, Poles need to think really hard if the wins, if they start coming, cover up the mess Eberflus has done these last 2 years in hiring his coaching staff and game managing, because the roster looks fine (with more Oline help and some on the Dline) and that's more on Poles than Ebeflus, but at the end of the day its Poles job to make it all work.

   There was no offense, it failed to show up, it went even more downhill with Teven Jenkins getting injured, the only players surviving this season from the starting line from week 1 has been  Coleman Shelton, not ideal. There was no plan to mitigate the injured Oline, no quick passing game, no success with the screen play, abandoning the run too quickly in the game, just total disaster.

Upside players: Ryan Bates played OK, its the only positive thing I can take going forward from this game.

Downside players: Too many new faces on Oline made Williams have his worst game of his short professional career, Keenan Allen and D.J. Moore are not doing a good job as veterans and leaders. The offensive scheme is none existent because of execution's due to bad coaching.

The defense once more tried to keep it close but with no offense in this game, there was little to nothing they could do to even dream for a win. The Patriots are not a good team, the Bears just gave this one away so the Patriots didn't need to do anything spectacular on offense, just run the ball and go short on passing plays and it was enough to get the defense tired and seal the game.

Upside players: There isn't anyone that is outstanding but T.J. Edwards giving the Bears a takeaway interception to try and inject life to the defense was something.

Downside players: The front four did a good job overall but still need to show that they can generate more pressure more often.

   Next up is the game that can seal the Bears season, a loss to the Packers is the worst thing that can happen right now for this team, starting to lose divisional games just makes it a sure thing that there is no shot at the post season. The same can be said if the Bears end up winning this one, it would flip the script so drastically even if it shouldn't, but it will because its against the Packers, It would give so much life to the fans if they manage to make it, but I highly doubt they do, the team is resetting at offense and at this point of the season it could be too late with the next 3 games going against all the NFC North rivals back to back to back, I just don't see a quick enough learning curve to deal with these teams, its now or never to get it started on the win column or Ill be on tankathon real soon.

W10 picks

    I fell really good about last week's predictions and it ended up being one of my worst weeks, life. Texans really miss Nico Collins. Saints still too injured but could go up with Carr returning, Cowboys more banged up and probably will go deeper down with Prescott injured. Bengals getting better, too late? Bears and Seahawks losing steam. Eagles looking to take flight again. On to next week.

Last week: 2-11 (15%)

Season overall: 26-100 (20%)

Patriots (+6) @ Chicago    (U38.5)

   The Bears have played well against bad competition which this is, but can trust the defense to stop the run and the offense to put enough point.

Vikings (-7) @ Jacksonville     (U43)

   With Trevor Lawrence nursing an injured shoulder, cant trust the Jaguars to slow down the Vikings.

Steelers @ Washington (-2)    (O45)

   Looks like Jayden Daniels is healthy enough to not be on the injury report, that will be a problem for the Steelers.

Falcons (-3.5) @ New Orleans    (U46.5)

   The Saints are just too banged up even with Carr back, the Falcons should pounce on them,

Broncos @ Kansas City (-7.5)    (U42)

   The Chiefs almost enver cover, but its at home against the Broncos, just get it done.

49ers @ Tampa Bay (+6.5)    (O50.5)

   Baker Mayfield is playing and that is enough for me to believe its going to be a shootout.

Bills (-4) @ Indianapolis    (U46.5)

   the Colts are not getting any better at offense with Michael Pittman out. The Bills have their own WR problems but can get this win on the ground.

Titans @ LA Chargers (-8)    (U39)

   The Titans playing Will Levis again is a choice.

Eagles (-7) @ Dallas     (O43.5)

   The Cowboys without Dak is enough for me to know they are done.

Jets @ Arizona (+1.5)    (U46)

   Still can't trust the Jets, the Cardinals are playing better.

Lions @ Houston (+3.5)   (O49.5)

   The Lions are pretty banged up and if the Texans get Collins back its going to probably boost their offense quite a bit. I  may be expecting too much of the Texans run game.

Dolphins (+1.5) @ LA Rams    (U49)

   the Dolphins are a more explosive team than the Rams right now.

W9@ARI: Here we go again

   The Bears loss in the desert was a tipping point not just because of the loss but how they preformed, injuries made it look worse but the was nowhere you could turn to on this team on this game that made you feel as a fan that there's something consistently going right. Honestly Im just feed up, too many years watching an unbalance Bears team with a bad offense and a defense that is asked to much, its the same product wrapped up differently.

   On offense the Oline was being gutted by injuries to both tackles, Teven Jenkins went down at one point and it was just too much. Caleb Williams tried to do too much instead of playing the short yardage game, they opted to go long and didn't have the protection for it, D.J. Moore at one point just gave up do to injury or just plain quited. The run was hot and cold, but got iced once the Oline started going down, so there were no answers to a team that was not prepared for this, as usual.

Upside players: Rome Odunze has to get more involved in this offense and Williams need to look more his way and better this connection.

Downside players: Its not all Keenan Allen's fault that he is getting targeted that frequently or the scheme is focus more on him for some reason, but that needs to change. Moore needs to sit a bit if he is too injured or continues with that attitude, justifiable or not due to bad coaching and scheme. 

On defense they are sorely missing Kyler Gordon on the run game, they managed to control the game as much as possible as always, but injuries also  started to happened, they failed to protect Andrew Billings who is now lost for the season most probably, which will be a big blow for this defense especially on the run game. With no points being scored, the game just slipped from them. Now with news that the players are losing hope of the leadership in the offices, what was once a good defense and the only consistent part of this team might just come crashing down, time will tell.

Upside players: Coverage is still holding up without Jaquan Brisker and Gordon, kudos to Terrel Smith, Josh Blackwell and Elijah Hicks.

Downside players: The Dline is still not generating enough pressure, it was to be expected without Montez Sweat on the game, but Gervon Dexter has somewhat disappeared, a bit disappointed his streak of good plays is on hold.

   Next up is a home game against a struggling Patriots team, they should win this game, it would say a lot if they didn't even with riddling injuries, still its a possibility at this point with the Bears own struggles right now. I honestly don't really care much for the outcome of this game, I expect them to win yes, but I don't care if they with by a blow out, because next week they get the Packers and for me the season rides on how they play that team, a Packers team that is competing for a playoff sport, If the Bears end up with similar results like they ended having against the Cardinals, that's it for me, they cant continue giving me the same crappy results as a fan and expect me to believe its going to be different this time around, I guess Ill just have to wait a bit to see if I get to offseason more this early.

W9 picks

  Not a good week, still a lot of close games against the spread, good job by Vegas. The Dolphins, Eagles, Browns and Jets are back, sort of. The Vikings and Texans are crashing. Panthers, Giants. Raiders and Titans are looking at QB college film. The Bengals need to find answers quick. The Colts have a problem and a solution at the same time. On to next week.

Last week: 2-13 (13%)

Season overall: 24-89 (21%)

Chargers (-1) @ Cleveland    (O42.5)

   Pretty similar teams if you ask me, Browns banged up secondary gives me the nod to the Chargers.

Patriots (+3) @ Tennessee    (U38.5)

   The Titans are lost at this point, the Patriots still look they want to find themselves.

Broncos (+9.5) @ Baltimore     (U46.5)

   The Ravens still struggle to close games, the Broncos are feisty.

Cowboys @ Atlanta (-3)    (O52)

   Kirk Cousins is starting to cook, the Cowboys just... no.

Dolphins @ Buffalo (-6)    (U49.5)

   I like the new Bills offense. The Dolphins are lucky it's still not snowing.

Saints (-7) @ Panthers    (U43.5)

   Derek Carr is back, Saints are back. Bryce Young is back, yikes.

Commanders (-4) @ NY Giants    (O44)

   The Giants cant get out of their own way.

Raiders (+7) @ Cincinnati    (O45)

   The Bengals are mega lost.

Bears (+2) @ Arizona     (O44.5)

   I'm still optimistic, I don't know how I do it.

Jaguars @ Philadelphia (-7.5)    (O46)

   The Eagles finally are looking scary as the roster shows they should be.

Lions @ Green Bay (+2.5)    (O47.5)

  Jinx dammit.

Rams (-1.5) @ Seattle    (U48)

   D.K. Metcalf is really important to the Seahawks offense. 

Colts (+5.5) @ Minnesota    (O47)

   Lord and savior joe Flacco will play.

Buccaneers @ Kansas City (-9)    (O45.5)

   The Bucs are just a hospital dressed as a football team. The Chiefs don't usually cover, I don't know why.

W8@WASH: Slipping

    While the Bears had no reason to be winning the game against the Commanders based on the way they played the first 3 quarters of the game, if by any reasons whatsoever they place themselves to be able to win a game, be it because you got lucky or the other team just had a meltdown, it doesn't matter how ugly a win is, is it's still a win, you take it, survive the day and move on. The Bears had the game won until they didn't, their defense kept it close, the offense did the bear minimum and they only had to survive the last 25 second of the game, they couldn't. Its onto the next game regardless while still searching to get better.

   The offense had a bad day, let's call it that, the Oline is a rollercoaster of an experience this season, it just fluctuates from bad to good on each snap, there was a lot of bad in this game and the injuries to this group will just make things worse. Caleb Williams struggled mightily, if he wasn't running for his life he was not finding open receivers or not making the decision to throw it, his conservative play and lack of deep ball accuracy is something to monitor. The run game existed in spurts which was what kept the offense alive most of the game, it's just so frustrating not knowing why all the snaps go to D'Andre Swift, Roschon Johnson is such a good change of pace and 3rd down back and the decision to not get Khalil Herbert involved whatsoever is such a head scratcher. 

Upside players: Rome Odunze is giving glimpses of a true WR1 for the future. 

Downside players: Bad day in general for the entire offense but Kiran Amegadjie really had his welcome to the NFL moments in this game.

   The defense did what it has been doing all season in a very impressive consistent manner, even with Kyler Gordon and Jaquan Brisket out the secondary still manages to limit the big blows, all the criticism going Tyrique Stevenson's way is not all deserved, he is a good corner with a big attitude, does he need to step it up? Yes. Will he? I believe he will, I expect him to lower his attitude a notch but still be him and his play is good enough to be a starter in the league and has been an important part of this defense success. It's not hard to look at this defense and see that it's run by the cover team, there is a worrisome lack of pressure not generated by the front four. with Montez Sweat dealing with an injury, it's going to ask the backs to do even more to make due.

Upside players: Elijah Hicks and Josh Blackwell are doing a fine job filling in for Brisker and Gordon.

Downside players: Stevenson will get better.

   Next up is a trip to the desert of Arizona, this will be another good test for the Bears, the Cardinals can be a good team but the have struggled to make it all work consistently, the Bears can pressure this team to a loss if they can execute which is something they have struggled to do on offense, now with both sides of the ball dealing with injuries, all points that it's going to be another one of those nail biting Bears game the fans are used to.