martes, 23 de abril de 2024

2024 Round 1 Mockish draft

    My fist one blogged, not exactly predicting the pick but more like the route teams should take based on how I perceive their rosters as of a couple of days before this years draft. I only added one trade up by the Vikings because its the only team I see that is desperate for a QB and is not in prime position to take one, so, up they go. Also I took the QB position as an important need for teams that really don't have one established as a franchise one, so Raiders, Giants and Patriots get one here, was considering the Broncos but with their trade for Zach Wilson I changed it, still not convinced they fixed the position though. Added the number of picks for each team to help me guess if a team has enough capital to attack every position I feel they need to address, surprisingly there are very few teams that I consider need to get more picks, Titans and Bears being the top ones, there will be movement but really guessing each one gests messy so I really limited this mock and kept it simple.

Pick #1 CHI: Four picks, two 1st rounders, but no picks in the 2nd, 5th, 6th and 7th round. Roster is average at worst but both sides of the ball have a good foundation. QB will be assessed immediately with the #1 picking up Caleb Williams.

Expected: Caleb Williams

Second best: Drake Maye

Surprise: Anything else


Pick #2 WAS: Nine picks total, no 4th and 5th rounders, but have two 2nd and 5th rounders and three 3rd rounders. They have enough picks to consider not needing to trade down. Secondary is a mess and no established QB, weak OL group. Its going to be a QB here, but of all the teams that are QB needy, I believe this team is the worst destination right now.

Expected: Drake Maye

Second best: Jayden Daniels

Surprise: J.J. McCarthy/Joe Alt/Trade down


Pick #3 NE: Eight picks total, one each round plus a 6th. Not much needs on defense, offensive side needs help. Best option is QB but could go best OT while trying to survive this season and pick QB next year.

Expected: Jayden Daniels/Drake Maye

Second Best: Joe Alt

Surprise: Marvin Harrison Jr./Trade down


Pick #4 AZ: Eleven picks total, one pick in each round and an extra 1st and 5th round, two more in the 3rd round. They need help at defense and the OL, but they need receiver help badly and Marvin Harrison is there, they don't need to trade back to get more capital so its mostly a no brainer.

Expected: Marvin Harrison Jr.

Second best: Malik Nabers/Rome Odunze

Surprise: Trade down


Pick #5 LAC: Eight picks total, one in each round plus a 5th and 7th rounders. Desperate for wideouts and deepen the running back room, defense is OK but could get help at the DL, FS.

Expected: Malik Nabers

Second best: Rome Odunze/Brock Bowers/Joe Alt

Surprise: Trade down


Pick #6 NYG: Six picks in total, one in all rounds except the 7th. Need help on both sides, but they have a chance to try and upgrade/reset the QB position with an average roster. If they don't have a favorite QB, they can trade out to someone who does have a preference while getting more picks which would help them significantly.

Expected: Michael Penix Jr./J.J. McCarthy/Jayden Daniels

Second best: Rome Odunze/Malik Nabers

Surprise: Trade down


Pick #7 TEN: Seven picks, no 3rd and two on the 7th round. Soft offense that needs weapons, major holes at EDGE and LB. Could go best EDGE, OL or a WO. Too many needs with a sophomore QB, a trade down with a needy QB team would be ideal.

Expected: Trade down

Second best: Rome Odunze/Joe Alt/Dallas Turner

Surprise: Brock Bowers


Pick #8 ATL: Eight picks, no seventh but two on the 3rd and 6th round. Very solid team offensively, solid defense with a glaring hole at LB, need help at EDGE and are in a good spot to get the best pass rusher to their liking, most probable will be Dallas Turner.

Expected: Dallas Turner

Second best: Joe Alt/Rome Odunze

Surprise: Trade down


Pick #9 CHI: With limited picks and still a handful of spots to upgrade, a trade down could be very well be considered if there is interest from another team, if they stay put and Odunze is still on the board, he would be the pick.

Expected: Trade down/Rome Odunze

Second best: Jared Verse/Brock Bowers

Surprise: Joe Alt/Taliese Fuaga/Jer'Zhan Newton


Pick #10 NYJ: Seven picks total, no 2nd or 5th rounders but two 4th and 7th rounders,. Solid team that is a receiver away from being scary good, help at LB and FS. How the board is dropping, getting a young promising T for insurance and the future would be very beneficial for them.

Expected: (LT) Joe Alt/Troy Fautanu

Second best: (RT) Tyler Guyton/J.C. Latham/Amarius Mims

Surprise: Brock Bowers


Pick #11 MIN: Nine picks total, two 1st, 4th, 5th and 7th rounders, but no 2nd or 3rd rounders. Some depth help needed in pass rush and defensive coverage, also depth at OL and WR but overall not to shabby a team, but I don't know how they end day one without picking a QB, but had no visits with one of the top 5 so I have no idea who they would pick, if they stay put they can get a chance of picking Bo Nix or maybe Michael Penix if they fall to this spot, or they can trade up for J.J. McCarthy if he really is that coveted by QB needy teams.

Expected: Trade up for J.J. McCarthy/Jayden Daniels/Michael Penix

Second best: (DT) Murphy/Newton or (EDGE) Verse/Latu

Surprise: CB 


Pick #12 DEN: Eight picks total, no 2nd or 7th rounders but three 5th and two 6th rounders. They need help on defense all around except CB, offensively any player can improve their situation but they need to address the QB position, they will be a very strong candidate to go up and get one, be it Penix who they had a visit with or McCarthy. LIVE UPDATE: Zach Wilson enters the QB carrousel for the Broncos, potentially the starter for the 2024 season, so looks like Denver will wait until next year to select a QB when/if Wilson cant keep the ship afloat.

Expected: Laiatu Latu

Second best: Byron Murphy/Jer'Zhan Newton

Surprise: Cooper DeJean


Pick #13 LV: Eight picks total, one in each round and an extra 7th rounder. Such an average team with needs all around except the DL. They could benefit by getting a QB but I don't expect them to and rather just get what best player available they can get on each round, in the first round they might be getting a falling star like Bowers, Newton or Latu depending on where they want to play Tyree Wilson or they can go JPJ or Zach Frazier for the future, BPA at WO or EDGE or just trade back. With the Vikings picking Zach Wilson, QB might be on the table for the Raiders without trading up.

Expected: Bo Nix

Second best: Jer'Zhan Newton/Laiatu Latu

Surprise: Brian Thomas Jr./JPJ


Pick #14 NO: Nine picks total, no 2nd and 3rd rounders but have four 5th and two 6th rounders. Solid offense with big needs at DT and S. They could benefit by picking Newton, Hall or Murphy unless they are thinking of unleashing Brian Bresee this year, if this being the case they can go BPA like IOL or EDGE, reach a bit by picking Tyler Nubin or trading back.

Expected: Byron Murphy/Jer'Zhan Newton

Second best: Barton Graham/Taliese Fuaga

Surprise: Jared Verse/Trade back


Pick #15 IND: Seven picks total, one in each round. The offense is solid, its just waiting for Anthony Richardson to make it happen. The defense it needs another good CB and maybe some help at S, it really needs a LB, it would be beneficial for them to pick best CB instead of best LB, Terrion Arnold or Quinyon Mitchell depending of type. They had Xavier Worthy for a visit and could be a surprise reach at this point of the draft.

Expected: Terrion Arnold

Second best: Payton Wilson/Cedric Gray/Edgerrin Cooper

Surprise: Cooper DeJean/Xavier Worthy


Pick #16 SEA: Seven picks total, no 2nd rounder but have two 4th rounders. Very solid team, have some need at the IOL, LB, CB and SS but no pressing needs and can go BAP. Could consider Quinyon Mitchell or JPJ. A visit from Jared Verse might make him the pick here.

Expected: Jared Verse

Second best: Quinyon Mitchell/JPJ/Graham Barton

Surprise: Payton Wilson/Cedric Gray/Edgerrin Cooper


Pick # 17 JAX: Eight picks total, one each round and an extra 4th rounder. Solid team with some needed WO help on offense, at defense need some help at DT, NB and SS. At this stop they can go get a WR or Ben Sinnott to help them offensively, or maybe Cooper DeJean fits well here.

 Expected: Brian Thomas Jr

Second best: Cooper DeJean

Surprise: Ben Sinnott


Pick #18 CIN: Ten picks total, one on each round plus a 3rd, 6th and 7th rounder. Very good team, they just need to clear the Tee Higgins drama. They have taken various OT visits and might what to get younger for the future which is not a bad idea with a sound roster all around. Amarius Mims or Troy Fautanu would be great depth.

Expected: Troy Fautanu

Second best: Amarius Mims/J.C. Latham/Tyler Guyton

Surprise: Xavier Legette


Pick #19 LAR: Eleven picks total, no 4th rounder but two 3rd and 5th rounders plus four 6th rounders. Need OL, EDGE, LB and serious S help, can really benefit by grabbing a OT early like Amarius Mims or Tyler Guyton.

Expected: Amarius Mims/Tyler Guyton

Second best: J.C. Latham/Olumuyiwa Fashanu

Surprise: Tyler Nubin


Pick #20 PIT: Seven picks total, no 5th rounder but two 3rd and 6th rounders.  Solid team, need some help at C, NB and SS. At this point being able to pick a C would be ideal.

Expected: JPJ/Zach Frazier/Graham Barton

Second best: T.J. Tampa/Cooper DeJean

Surprise: Adonai Mitchell


Pick #21 MIA: Six picks total, no 3rd and 4th rounders but have two 6th rounders. Very complete team, no immediate needs, can benefit by grabbing a OT and not pay Austin Jackson next year. 

Expected: Tyler Guyton/J.C. Latham

Second best: Jer'Zhan Newton/Byron Murphy

Surprise: Ben Sinnott


Pick #22 PHI: Eight picks total, no 3rd or 7th rounders but have two 2nd rounders and three 5th rounders. Solid offense with only the departure of Jason Kelce hurting them making the move to Cam Jurgens into the starting OL. Defensive side has no mayor issues but could be helped with a good S like Tyler Nubin or Kamren Kinchens. Wouldn't be surprised if they go IOL like Taliese Fuaga or Graham Barton, but could benefit more with one of the top OT to succeed Lane Johnson.

Expected: Tyler Guyton/J.C. Latham/Olumuyiwa Fashanu

Second best: Graham Barton/Taliese Fuaga

Surprise: Tyler Nubin/Kamren Kinchens


Pick #23 MIN: Expect them to use this pick to go up for their QB. If they fail, aside of beign funny, they still need IOL and secondary help or they could benefit from the top DTs still on the board.

Expected: Trade up for J.J. McCarthy

Second best: Jer'Zhan Newton/Byron Murphy/Michael Hall Jr.

Surprise: Quinyon Mitchell/KoolAid McKinstry/T.J. Tampa


Pick #24 DAL: Seven picks total, no 4th rounder but have two 7th rounders. Can go multiple directions on both sides, they would benefit of adding some WR help like Brian Thomas or Xavier Legette. They could go RB as well.

Expected: Xavier Legette/Troy Franklin

Second best: Jer'Zhan Newton/Byron Murphy/Michael Hall Jr.

Surprise: Jonathon Brooks


Pick #25 GB: Eleven picks total, one on each round plus a 2nd, 3rd, 6th and 7th rounder. Solid offense, defense can get some help at LB and S. They had visits from LBs Edgerrin Cooper and Ty'Ron Hopper, could go OL as they are known to have plenty and pick Amarus Mims  or Tyler Guyton. who also had visits with.

Expected: Amarius Mims/Tyler Guyton

Second best: Taliese Fuaga

Surprise: (S) Nubin/Kinchens or (LB) Wilson/Cooper


Pick #26 TB: Seven picks total, no 5th rounder but have two 3rd rounders. OK team with needs at the IOL and need to resolve Antoine Windfield's situation, either way a NB wouldn't hurt and did have a visit from Mike Sainristil but could be consider a reach, if Cooper DeJean is still on the board that would be the pick. A WR could make sense as well like Xavier Worthy or Ladd McConkey.

Expected: Cooper DeJean

Second best: Xavier Worthy/Ladd McConkey

Surprise: Jordan Morgan/Christian Hayes


Pick #28 AZ: Still could go double dipping at WR or get help at IOL, but I believe they will go defense where I still have quality picks on the board.

Expected: Quinyon Mitchell/KoolAid McKinstry/T.J. Tampa

Second best: Daren Robinson/Michael Hall Jr.

Surprise: Chop Robinson/Byron Murphy/Jer'Zhan Newton


Pick #28 BUF: Ten picks total, no 3rd rounder but have two 4th and 6th rounders, also three 5th rounders. The Bills window is closing, still a decent team but there is help needed in various positions. Josh Allen could use more weapons and better IOL, but at this point the blue chip players might have all been gone by now.

Expected: (WR) Xavier Legette/Troy Franklin or Xavier Worthy/Ladd McConkey

Second best: Jordan Morgan/Christian Hayes

Surprise: Jared Verse/T.J. Tampa


Pick #29 DET: Seven picks total, no 4th rounder but have two 6th rounders. Very good team, could really solidify their starting squad with a promising WR like Xavier Legette or Troy Franklin, although this is the spot some might consider taking Adonai Mitchell's athletic upside. They had KoolAid McKinstry for a visit, might be an option to have insurance for Carlton Davis.

Expected: Xavier Legette/Troy Franklin

Second best: KoolAid McKinstry

Surprise: Xavier Worthy/Ladd McConkey


Pick #30 BAL: Nine picks total, one on each round plus a 4th and 7th rounder. Solid team would benefit and seem interested in a WR, had a visit with Xavier Worthy and Malachi Corley, I would add Keon Coleman to the list. Defensively they could go with DE Darius Robinson or maybe even Bralen Trice.

Expected: Xavier Worthy/Keon Coleman

Second best: Darius Robinson/Bralen Trice

Surprise: Ben Sinnott/Jared Verse


Pick #31 SF: Ten picks total, one on each round plus two 4th rounders and one 6th rounder. Very good team, seems like Brandon Aiyuk is set to play, if not they are going to probably get a WR. Defensively I would go CB.

Expected: KoolAid McKinstry/T.J. Tampa

Second best: Ladd McConkey

Surprise: Tyler Nubin/Kamren Kinchens


Pick #32 KC: Seven picks total, no 5th rounder but have two 6th rounders. Solid team that will be hunting a WR although their biggest need is CB.

Expected: Adonai Mitchell

Second best: KoolAid McKinstry/T.J. Tampa/Nate Wiggins

Surprise: Tyler Nubin/Kamren Kinchens


Pick #33 CAR: Seven picks total, no 1st and 6th rounders but have two 2nd and 5th rounders. Offense is waiting for Bryce Young to click, can go Ben Sinnott or Darius Robinson as big needs.

Expected: Darius Robinson

Second best: Ben Sinnott

Surprise: Michael Hall Jr./Kris Jenkins


Pick 42 #HOU: Eight picks total, no 1st or 5th rounders but have two 2nd, 4th and 6th rounders. Need help at IDL and LB, they are probably in a good spot to fill those needs with their 2nd round picks.

Expected: Michael Hall Jr./Jer'Zhan Newton 

Second best: T'Vondre Sweat

Surprise: Cedric Gray/Edgerrin Cooper/Ty'Ron Hopper


Pick #54 CLE: Six picks total, no 1st or 4th rounders but have two 7th rounders. Needs at MLB and FS. Too soon to take Jordan Travis as insurance?

Expected: Cedric Gray/Ty'Ron Hopper

Second best: Tyler Nubin/Kamren Kinchens

Surprise: Jordan Travis

sábado, 13 de abril de 2024

2024 Draft prospects

    I went lighter this year with the number of players I watched to a total of 156 prospects, I still have time to watch more, got extra time I didn't expect to have but need to concentrate on other stuff and can always keep watching other players if some pop up that interest me. With the Bears slim in picks this year, I really don't think the players they end up picking wont be include on this list.

QBs

NAMESCHOOLRD
Caleb WilliamsUSC1
Drake MayeNorth Carolina1
Jayden DanielsLSU1-2
Michael PenixWashington1-2
Bo NixOregon2-3
J.J. McCarthyMichigan2-3
Jordan TravisFlorida State3
Michael PrattTulane3-4
Joe MiltonTennessee5
Spencer RattlerSouth Carolina5


   Its a close call between Williams and Maye, even so the Bears should draft Williams, I am of the people that do place importance in size and Williams is dangerously close to being not ideal in that regard and one can argue he could be classified as as small QB. Still, he does make it work better that last years smallish QB Bryce Young, both Young and Williams scrambled a lot but the difference I saw is that when Young ran and got rid of the ball it was often to wide open receivers and did it with limited pressure when throwing the ball, while Williams on the other hand often threated the needle with his passes on the move with defenders in close pursuit, Williams does have the Aaron Rodgers vibe when buying time and slinging the ball to a perfect spot. Maye is the perfect specimen of QB with great size, arm and enough legs to make defenses pay attention or suffer the consequences, still his throwing talent is not at Williams level of accuracy and off script shenanigan's, coaching could take him even further than where Williams could be talentwise but having the right coach in place is were I prefer the Bears to pick Williams and not Maye, I don't trust the Bears to coach up a QB, Williams is close to being an established QB than Maye, not saying Williams is perfect but he is closer to a finished product and more polished than Maye who could end up being the best QB in this draft in time or average if he is pushed the wrong way. Daniels and Penix showed great promise in college but have limitations that they need to resolve to be considered slam dunks at the pros, Nix and McCarthy have shown flashed of great QBing but their offensive schemes in college limited them and hide their true potential/ceiling which makes them a toss up. Travis is my favorite underdog QB in this draft, limited in arm power but can throw really good accurate passes in the pocket or on the move, I see his floor as good backup in the NFL. Milton is such a raw freak of nature, really fun project player.

Surprise pick: Anything other than QB at #1
OK pick: Maye at #1
Expected pick: Caleb Williams at #1


RBs

NAMESCHOOLRD
Jonathon BrooksTexas1-2
MarShawn LloydUSC2
Isaiah DavisSouth Dakota State2-3
Braelon AllenWisconsin2-3
Will ShipleyClemson2-3
Trey BensonFlorida State3
Ray DavisKentucky3-4
Blake CorumMichigan3-4
Daijun EdwardsGeorgia3-4
Jase McClellanAlabama3-4
Dillon JohnsonWashington4
George HolaniBoise State4
Bucky IrvingOregon4
Jaylen WrightTennessee4
Emani BaileyTCU4-5
Jawhar JordanLouisville4-5
Kendall MiltonGeorgia4-5
Isaac GuerendoLouisville5
Carson SteeleUCLA6
Audric EstimeNotre Dame6
Tyrone Tracy Jr.Purdue6

   I didn't see any dominant freak RB this year but Brooks was the one that got my attention the most, sadly he ended getting injured and its a wait and see if he can come back whole. Lloyd and Isaiah Davis, two very different backs, surprised me with their individual skillsets and expect good primary roles from them. Last year Davone Achane was a back I didn't expect that would be such a difference maker in the NFL and I'm wondering if Ray Davis, Corum or Bailey could be this years surprise.

Suprise pick: MarShawn Lloyd in the 3rd. Blake Corum in the 4th
OK pick: Trade down from #9, Bailey in the 5th.
Expected pick: No RB drafted.


WRs

NAMESCHOOLRD
Marvin Harrison Jr.Ohio State1
Rome OdunzeWashigton1
Malik NabersLSU1
Xavier LegetteSouth Carolina1-2
Brian Thomas Jr.LSU1-2
Ja'Lynn PolkWashington2
Xavier WorthyTexas2
Troy FranklinOregon2
Ladd McConkeyGeorgia2-3
Keon ColemanFlorida State2-3
Johnny WilsonFlorida State2-3
Adonai MitchellTexas3
Malik WashigtonVirginia3-4
Jamari ThrashLouisville3-4
Ricky PearsallFlorida4
Malachi CorleyWestern Kentucky4
Tez WalkerNorth Carolina4
Jermain BurtonAlabama4
Brenden RiceUSC4
Roman WilsonMichigan5
Jalen McMillanWashington6-5

   I moved this list a lot and its easily the most debatable position group this year, but want cant be debated is that this is a really good receiver class, bunch of talent in every shape and form. Harrison is the complete package and should be a plug and play player in any team. Odunze is very close to being the same specimen as Harrison and should be an automatic upgrade in almost any team. Nabers is a top field stretcher and will increase the offensive horsepower of any team. Legette and Thomas Jr. don't come with the same game history as the previous guys but have size and speed to be considered big threats. There's reliable guys like Polk and Franklin to be considered as solid WR2s and there's mismatching guys like Worthy and McConkey that can run circles on defenders with demonic speed and crisp route running respectively. Coleman and Wilson have rare bled of skills and physical talent and can punish defenses in the slot. Mitchell has a ways to go to see if he can pan out but oozes physical traits with great size and speed. There's somethin that separates a player from the other, but every player in this list has the talent to make a team better. The Bears have a duo of vet receivers set for their rookie QB, but after them it dips significantly in talent and experience which makes it a very thin positional group, picking one or even possibly two in this list would insure any bad luck this group could suffer. If I have to choose a type of receiver, I would go with Odunze over Nabers, I respect his speed but Odunze has enough of it and on top of that has size and talent to go for the ball which the Bears could use more of.

Surprise pick: Drafting Harrison #1 or going up from #9.
OK pick: trade down from #9, pick Legette in the 2nd, Washington or Thrash in the 3th.
Expected pick: Odunze at #9.


TEs

NAMESCHOOLRD
Brock BowersGeorgia1
Ben SinnottKansas State1
Jared WileyTCU2-3
Jaheim BellFlorida State2-3
Theo JohnsonPenn Sate2-3
Ja'Tavion SandersTexas3-4
Cade StoverOhio State4
Tanner McLachlanArizona4-5
Brevyn Spann-FordMinnesota4-5
Erick All Jr.Iowa5

   Everybody talks about Bowers being the best TE of this years class and rightly so, but I'm a bit surprised there isn't much talk about Sinnott being the close second from my perspective. There is a very good group of mixed talent, some overall good TEs like Bowers and Sinnott, some better at receiver than blockers like Wiley and Sanders, some better blockers than receivers like Stover, Spann-Ford and McLachlan, then there's raw freaks like only Penn State can create for NFL teams to mold like Theo Jonson and swiss army knifes like Jaheim Bell. The Bears are in a good spot with Cole Kmet getting better each year while adding Gerald Everett to have good depth, still  it wouldn't hurt if they can add one more guy from this list, Shane Waldon supposedly covets TEs in his game plan

Surprise pick: Bowers with the #9.
OK pick: Stover or McLachlan in the 4th. Trade down from #9, Sinnott in the 2nd or Bell in the 3th.
Expected pick: No TE drafted.


OTs

NAMESCHOOLRDPOS
Joe AltNotre Dame1LT
Tyler GuytonOklahoma1RT
J.C. LathamAlabama1RT
Amarius MimsGeorgia1-2RT
Troy FautanuWashington1-2LT
Graham BartonDuke2LT
Taliese FuagaOregon State2RT
Olumuyiwa FashanuPenn State2LT
Jordan MorganArizona3-4LT
Patrick PaulHouston3-4LT
Blake FisherNotre Dame3-4RT
Dominic PuniKansas State4-5LT
Kingsley SuamataiaBYU5LT
Roger RosengartenWashington5RT

   Kind of funny to see the opinions on Braxton Jones being mid and might getting replaced if Joe Alt is available with the #9 pick, who definitely is the most prepared LT in this years class. This conversation isn't new for Bears fans, I still remember when Charles Leno Jr. was considered mid, and is, and still be serviceable, so much that the Commanders extended him, Leno had more years experience than Jones when these talks started to surface in regard of Leno's talent, I believe that Jones still has time to prove he can get better, but if Ryan Poles wants to go with Alt if he falls, I wouldn't blame him for pulling the trigger and solidify the T position with two prime picks at the position, but its far from a need comparing the state of the T position compared to for example the WR or DL rooms, even IOL could be debated to be on the table for this high a pick. There are other options down the road but few played LT in college, guys like Guyton, Latham and Mims are freaks of nature but played RT, Barton and Fuaga are fierce but might be even better at G. There's a lot of praise going to Fashanu but I personally don't see it as a slam dunk player, he is my Broderick Jones comparison from last year, so for me the next best LT would be Fautanu who is seen by some as a better G prospect, so Alt is going to have huge value in this draft in my opinion.

Surprise pick: Alt with the #9.
OK pick: Trade down from #9, Blake Fisher in the 4th.
Expected pick: No T drafted.


OGs

NAMESCHOOLRD
Cooper BeebeKansas State2
Brandon ColemanTCU2-3
Christian MahoganyBoston College3
Zack ZinterMichigan3-4
Christian HaynesConneticut4
Mason McCormickSouth Dakota St5
Layden RobinsonTexas A&M5
Isaiah AdamsIllinois6

   Not much of a G group, but considering some of the T will most probably convert to G by their respected teams that drafted them, its not as bad a group. Beebe and Mahogany are your typical mauling G's while Coleman gives you flexibility to play T in a pinch or agility as a very good pulling G, still you cant go wrong with Zinter, Haynes or McCormick that can really help give a team great depth at least. The Bears payed quite a bit for insurance at G getting Ryan Bates from the Bills, but is much needed help with the history of uncertainty from Teven Jenkins and Nate Davis, trying to get one more G wouldn't hurt.

Surprise pick: Going up for a G in the 2nd like Beebe or Coleman.
OK pick: Trade back from #9,  Mahogany in the 3rd.
Expected pick: NO G drafted.


OCs

NAMESCHOOLRD
Jackson Powers-JohnsonOregon1-2
Zach FrazierWest Virginia2
Tanor BortoliniWisconsin3
Sedrick Van PranGeorgia3
Hunter NourzadPenn State4
Beaux LimmerArkansas5

   There is good word from experts for this years C group, JPJ rose to be at the top of many ranking lists and I don't blame them, the guy impacts with his size and power while Frazier doesn't fall far behind in those categories and is considered a mauling player as well, after these 2 the list takes a bit of a dip but I like Bortolini as a improving player that can reach pro ready status sooner rather than later. Van Pran was considered for a long time to be the favorite, but doesn't display the same dominance the first two have and might be too close to his ceiling which is good enough for the pros. Nourzad and Limmer have been praised and talked about to be pro ready, I believe they would benefit being backups to start their careers. The Bears would benefit by drafting one of these guys, signing FA Shelton Coleman was a good move to have him as an insurance player, but I worry going in to the season once more with two somewhat unproven/average veteran Cs.

Surprise pick: Trade down from #9, JPJ in the 1st.
OK pick: Trade down from #9, Frazier in the 2nd.
Expected pick: Bortolini in the 4th.


DTs

NAMESCHOOLRD
Jer'Zhan NewtonIllinois1
Byron MurphyTexas1-2
Michael Hall Jr.Ohio State1-2
Kris JenkinsMichigan2-3
Brandon DorlusOregon2-3
Ruke OrhorhoroClemson3
Tvondre SweatTexas3
Braden FiskeFlorida State3-4
Mekhi WingoLSU3-4
McKinnley JacksonMississippi State4
Maason SmithLSU4-5
Leonard Taylor IIIMiami5

   Straight to the chase, there's 3 guys I believe are 3T wreckers in Newton, Murphy and Hall Jr. and none of them come as an easy pick to me. There's a lot of talk coming out recently where Murphy comes as the best 3T prospect, I don't like Murphy as much as the other two, I do see he is capable of mass disruption, but I just don't see it as often as I would like, even the data says otherwise, but this is my list and its what I perceived in my small sample size of "film watching". Newton I do see giving maximum effort every play but the injury he had does concern me as Poles takes these things greatly into consideration. Hall I see more as a consistent disruptor than Murphy but his attitude issues on and off the field I do see as an important factor to drafting a player and I do believe Poles does as well, still there is great talent in his play style. Jenkins comes close but he is more physical than technical, still he can learn and be a beast. Dorlus is a tweener and a very good one that some team can have fun with him by moving him around. Orhorhoro is raw and can go really far if he can be well coached. Sweat is your starting NT to target if you need one. Fiske and Wingo can be very good depth and situational pass rushers.

Surprise pick: Newton with the #9. Trade down from the #9, Sweat in the 2nd.
OK pick: Fiske in the 4th.
Expected pick: Dorlus or Orhorhoro in the 3rd.


EDGEs

NAMESCHOOLRD
Dallas TurnerAlabama1
Jared VerseFlorida St.1
Laiatu LatuUCLA1
Darious RobinsonMissouri1-2
Chop RobinsonPenn St.1-2
Bralen TriceWashington2
Chris BraswellAlabama2-3
Adisa IsaacPenn St.3
Marshawn KneelandWestern Michigan3-4
Jonah EllissUtah4-5
Austin BookerKansas5

   You can shuffle Turner, Verse and Latu as you please, you can nitpick a bunch of things from them and get an excuse to who should be first on the list. I like Verse more than the other two, but Turner is younger and is a freaky athlete that has a higher ceiling, but I see him playing more in a two stance which is not what the Bears would play him. Both Robinson's couldn't be more different in their speed and size which makes them have different skillsets, but come up with the same results which is constant pressure. Trice is more of a 5T but dominates the LOS. Braswell and Isaac are very intriguing players with high motor and never quit mentality.

Surprise pick: Latu with the #9 pick.
OK pick: Verse with the #9 pick.
Expected pick: Braswell or Isaac in the 3rd.


LBs

NAMESCHOOLRD
Cedric GrayNorth Carolina2
Payton WilsonNorth Carolina State2
Edgerrin CooperTexas A&M2-3
Ty'Ron HopperMissouri3-4
Tommy EichenbergOhio State4
Junior ColsonMichigan4
Jaylan FordTexas4-5
Curtis JacobsPenn State5
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.Clemson5
Tevin WallaceKentucky5-6
Tyrice KnightUTEP6
James WilliamsMiami6

   Hmm second year I'm not a fan of the LB group, don't know if its because the Bears don't really need one or its because there isn't really a dominant one like the LBs of the early 2000s. Wilson is the physical freak but I see Gray more of a football player like Eicheberg and Colston but they are a bit slower. Cooper and Hopper are fun players with different skillsets, Cooper is more of a blitzer while Hopper is better at coverage.

Surprise pick: Any LB drafted.
OK pick: Trade back from #9, Hopper in the 5th.
Expected pick: No LB drafted.


CBs

NAMESCHOOLRD
Terrion ArnoldAlabama1
T.J. TampaIowa State1
Cooper DeJeanIowa1-2
Kool-Aid McKinstryAlabama1-2
Quinyon MitchellToledo2
Renardo GreenFlorida State2
Nate WigginsClemson2
Cam HartNotre Dame2-3
Kamari LassiterGeorgia2-3
Khyree JacksonOregon3
Mike SainristilMichigan3
Kris Abrams-DrainMissouri3-4
Ennis Rakestraw Jr.Missouri3-4
Max MeltonRutgers3-4
D.J. JamesAuburn3-4
Kalen KingPenn State4
Andru PhillipsKentucky4
Jarrian JonesFlorida State4
Caelen CarsonWake Forest4-5
Johnny DixonPenn State5
Josh NewtonTCU5

   Good pool of corners this year, Arnold is the main riser in rankings, I like his overall skillset to be able to cover, press and tackle. Tampa is not a big favorite for many but I do see a complete packages similar to Arnold. DeJean is easy to like but definitely as the best nickle in this draft class, I can see him even at SS. Mitchell as the small school favorite is understandable with his size and numbers he put in college, how much will it translate to the pros immediately? Green and Wiggins are very good corners with different body structure, both can start in the NFL. Hart and Jackson are the big mismatch corners that can definitely play day one. Next best nickle would be Sainristil, small but packs a punch and can go with the best of them. A lot of quality back up players in the rest of this list, the Bears have no immediate need at this position, if they can rack up more draft picks its never a bad idea to have as many quality backup corners as you can in todays NFL.

Surprise pick: Any CB drafted in day 1 or 2.
OK pick: Trade back from #9, Phillips in the 5th
Expected pick: No CB drafted.


Ss

NAMESCHOOLRD
Tyler NubinMinnesota2
Beau BradeMaryland2-3
Kamren KinchensMiami3
Malik MustaphaWake Forest3-4
Tykee SmithGeorgia3-4
Javon BullardGeorgia4
Calen BullockUSC4
Darion Taylor-DemersonTexas Tech4-5
Jaden HicksWashington St4-5
Cole BishopUtah5

   There is some talent in this years safety pool, but not exactly what I would assume would fill the FS position for the Bears which is not a big need with the addition of Kevin Byard. Nubin is the closest thing to a centerfielder than can tackle but plays better near the LOS. Brade and Mustapha are a hybrid nickle/safety type that has value if the play design has a specific role for them. Kinchens can play even with his limited physical skills, he is a true football player. Smith displays love for contact and is always around the ball, a very intriguing SS. Bullard and Bullock are FS that have very questionable tackling ability. Taylor-Demerson and Hicks are headhunters that would benefit improving their cover skills. Bishop I just didn't understand his role on the field, was everywhere but didn't do much consistently.

Surprise pick: Trade back from #9, Nubin in the 2nd.
OK pick: Trade back from #9. Bullard in the 4th or Taylor-Demerson in the 5th.
Expected pick: No S drafted.


   This draft for the Bears will be dictated once they decide what to do with the #9 pick, it doesn't help me decide what I would like them to do with the next picks but it goes something like this, in order of favoritism,

Pick #1 - QB
Pick #9 - WR or EDGE or DT
Pick #75 - WR/TE or DT or  EDGE
Pick #122 - C

   I see or prefer a scenario where they go double dipping at receiver, be it two WR or one and a TE while sacrificing depth at DL due to the talent I presume will be left, I believe there is better value to find at a receiver position than DL further down the draft board, if Poles manages to pull a 2nd rounder out of his ass then I would like him to get DL help, be it EDGE or DT preferably a 3T, but getting Sweat would be a scary rotation with Andrew Billings.
   What is almost written in stone is that Caleb Williams will be the Bears QB and will start immediately for the 2024 season, right now the offense is ready to roll with only the QB being the most important missing piece, Williams has a chance to start with an average at worst, solid at best offensive and defensive unit baring injuries, if Matt Eberflus and Shane Waldron play their cards correctly, Williams should be able to display being one of these generational promising QBs that he has been described to be, I expect the bumps and bruises at the beginning of the season but once November starts rolling around, with a good draft and a healthy team, I expect Williams to start showing he can make the team better, I don't care if he starts with 10+ picks at the beginning of the season as long as after mid season he starts showing better control of these turnovers and starts dominating final drives in games which would result in wins, everything points for him to statistically be able to put big numbers in yards, TDs and even INTs depending on the freedom Waldron puts on his plate in drop backs he takes by game, or he could even go run heavy and control Williams's snaps which would dip his stats, as long as it is for the best of his development so be it. This is far away from being the messy situation Justin Fields fell into and rightfully should not be repeated with Williams, time will tell if the QB, coaches and the team Poles puts in place where the right combination for success this time around.