Unfortunately, I almost got the record right last year, my pessimism had them one game lower as my floor. Ryan Poles shows a better team this year at least on paper, a new promising QB to keep us on our toes and see if he can give this team the chance of being in the mix with the big boys of the league.
Week 1: vs Titans
It's a good team to start against when having a Bears roster so full of new faces on offense, it's good to go against a team that is basically in the same scenario. The Titans defense is not too shabby but it can be a good starting experience for Caleb Williams to go against as his first pro game. The Bears defense will go against a Titans offense that has talented players, but Will Levis is still in the process of showing if he is the right QB. Both QBs will have to show good poise to give their team the best chance of winning, but I consider Chicago's defense to be better and help finish this game.
Probable outcome: Bears win.
Week 2: @ Houston
Tough matchup against a good team at their home, a young team on top of that, so their arrow probably is pointing up as the season progresses. If C.J. Stroud continues where he left off last year, it's not gonna look good for the Bears.
Probable outcome: Bears lose.
Week 3: @ Indianapolis
I didn't realize the Bears get almost the whole AFC south division in one go, all of them before the half of the season. Anyway, the Colts led by Anthony Richardson, who is coming back from injury, are no easy foe. Solid on the offensive side of the ball and the defense has a promising DL. It could definitely go either way, but I will be optimistic and think that Williams will help get this one in the bag.
Probable outcome: Bears win.
Week 4: vs Rams
I have much respect for Matthew Stafford and the Rams organization, they showed last year that they have a solid team and can go toe to toe with the best in the league. They bring a very powerful offense and a highly promising DL, much like the previous game against the Colts, it could go either way, Staffords experiences and Sean McVay's coaching might be too much.
Probable outcome: Bears lose.
Week 5: vs Panthers
I do expect the Panthers to improve this year, especially their QB Bryce Young, still the OL has a ways to go to see if they can gel. The departure or their star EDGE Brian Burns does make the defense look a bit depleted. It could turn out to be a tough matchup but I expect the Bears to come out on top.
Probable outcome: Bears win.
Week 6: vs Jaguars
London is feeling like the Jaguars second home. It's been a rocky career for Trevor Lawrence who flashes the potential he showed in college but has struggled mightily to show progress, be it by bad coaching or a depleted roster or both. They have more pieces in place this year with good pass rushers, LBs and a solid duo of safeties. On the offensive side, they have weapons to do damage, it's up to the Oline to give Lawrence time. Another tough game, making the trip to London makes it a bit tougher, maybe enough to drop this one.
Probable outcome: Bears lose.
Week 7: BYE
Much needed rest to reset and come back to play against some beatable opponents in the next weeks.
Week 8: @ Washington
On paper the Commanders look like one of the easier opponents on this schedule, rookie QB Jayden Daniels will have half a season of experience with Terry McLaurin which will be his go to guy. The DL line is still a force to be reckoned with, focused on the interior part of the line where the Bears look to have questions at. Nevertheless, the Bears should come out of Washington with the win.
Probable outcome: Bears win.
Week 9: @ Arizona
There's high hopes that the Cardinals can get competitive this year, I'm not one of those believers. Kyle Murray can be special but also I consider him limited, he might already have created some chemistry with rookie WR Marvin Harrison Jr, but with what I consider an average defense and lack of offensive weapons and reconstructed OL, I would assume the Bears get the job done in the desert.
Probable outcome: Bears win
Week 10: vs Patriots
This can be a weird team where they seem to not have enough but manage to do enough to pull a win from out of nowhere. I will be expecting the Bears to be an improved team that will play in structure like the Patriots would, but play it with more high end talent.
Probable outcome: Bears win
Week 11: vs Packers
Sadly the win streak would end in the worst way. The Packers are building a very solid team, the emergence of good play by Jordan Love makes this team a playoff contender in the league, if this keeps up, the Bears are most probably not ready to handle this level of talent quite yet, they are playing them at home and a win here would speak volumes, but I just don't see it yet.
Probable outcome: Bears lose.
Week 12: vs Vikings
Will Sam Darnold really give the Vikings a shot? He does have a good offensive supporting cast behind him and the defense is not what it was but pieces were added to make it look promising. I'm going with the home team this time around, but the Vikings probably will be a feisty team.
Probable outcome: Bears win.
Week 13: @ Detroit
The Lions are legit, they will probably win this division with the team they were able to assemble, their secondary was their achilles heel and they went all in at the draft to try and fix it and they probably did, they will just need some time to adjust. Their WR room is very slim though, an injury to Amon-Ra St. Brown or Sam LaPorta would really hurt them. The Bears seemed to have the Lions number, but I doubt it continues being the same.
Probable outcome: Bears lose.
Week 14: @ San Francisco
Here's another opponent that has all figured out, only thing that they are missing is how to win the Super Bowl. Just a powerhouse of a team, something the Bears should strive for.
Probable outcome: Bears lose.
Week 15: @ Minnesota
Expecting the Vikings to be no pushovers Im giving them the home game win as a tough divisional rival. Still it shouldn't be an easy win if at all.
Probable outcome: Bears lose.
Week 16: vs Lions
Like I said, I dont think the Bears own the Lions anymore, maybe next year.
Probable outcome: Bears lose.
Week 17: vs Seahawks
Good thing this game is not in Seattle. The Seahawks are not a bad team, but they have some holes to figure out on both sides of the ball just as the Bears will need to do this season. I expect Shane Waldron to tip this game to the Bears favor against his old team.
Probable outcome: Bears win.
Week 18: @ Green Bay
Unless the Packers rest some starters, I don't expect the Bears to pull off a in Green Bay. I wish this was the year the Bears stop being owned by the Packers but it might take one more year.
Probable outcome: Bears lose.
So, at the end of the season I have the Bears with a 8-9 record, floor would be 6-10, ceiling would be 10-7 possibly getting to the postseason where anything can happen. Obviously my floor would be very disappointing and would mean a lot of work is still needed. An 8 win season doesn't necessarily mean that it was a bad season, as long as Caleb Williams looks to be progressing and games were won because of him, then there is hope and the rebuild can continue its current course.
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